Monday, April 09, 2012
Stepping Away from Infinity
Our new closer, Alfredo Aceves, after whining that he would not be satisfied with a non-rotation, non-closing position has an infinite ERA. He has faced 4 hitters and they have all gotten hits. Three have scored. Just for fun, let's see how his ERA will fare as he throws up all scoreless innings from now on, in a fairly-average 1-inning save chance future...
After 3 scoreless innings and presumably 3 saves, his ERA will be 9.00 -- beyond atrocious.
After 6 scoreless innings and 6 saves, his ERA will be 4.50 -- below average.
After 9 scoreless innings and 9 saves, his ERA will be 3.00 -- below average for a closer.
After 12 scoreless innings and 12 saves, his ERA will be 2.25 -- about what you'd expect for an elite closer on a championship team.
So, let's see how he looks in a month. Also worth noting, he need only pitch two-thirds scoreless to be better than Mariano Rivera's current 54.00 ERA (which would have been worse if they didn't end the game after the first run crossed).
Our new closer, Alfredo Aceves, after whining that he would not be satisfied with a non-rotation, non-closing position has an infinite ERA. He has faced 4 hitters and they have all gotten hits. Three have scored. Just for fun, let's see how his ERA will fare as he throws up all scoreless innings from now on, in a fairly-average 1-inning save chance future...
After 3 scoreless innings and presumably 3 saves, his ERA will be 9.00 -- beyond atrocious.
After 6 scoreless innings and 6 saves, his ERA will be 4.50 -- below average.
After 9 scoreless innings and 9 saves, his ERA will be 3.00 -- below average for a closer.
After 12 scoreless innings and 12 saves, his ERA will be 2.25 -- about what you'd expect for an elite closer on a championship team.
So, let's see how he looks in a month. Also worth noting, he need only pitch two-thirds scoreless to be better than Mariano Rivera's current 54.00 ERA (which would have been worse if they didn't end the game after the first run crossed).
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